CNN’s (CNN) senior knowledge reporter Harry Enten has a brand new evaluation of how the political winds are shifting amongst black voters, and the information is not good for the Harris-Walz marketing campaign.
The Gateway Pundit stories on the challenges Kamala faces with demographics that Democrats take without any consideration.
Barack Obama admits black voters aren’t enthusiastic about Kamala Harris’ candidacy, and Oprah Winfrey says she was stopped by a black man on the airport Black man says he’ll vote for President Trump.
Enten’s knowledge exhibits that Donald Trump is the strongest Republican amongst black voters since 1960.
Harry Enten: Typically there is a pattern line that I’ve by no means seen earlier than that makes me go, wow.
That is certainly one of them.
That is the Democratic benefit black folks beneath 45 have within the presidential election. You return to November 2012, what do you see? You noticed Obama win by 81 factors.
And you then have a look at the typical of latest polls, Kamala Harris is barely up 41 factors, which is about half of what it was when Obama gained in November 2012. Weeks, when he was in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, speaking primarily to younger black males, he made it seem like this was a Kamala Harris-specific downside. Uh-huh. It is a part of a long-term pattern of younger black folks transferring away from the Democratic Celebration. Kamala Harris is simply the newest to face a mass exodus of younger black folks to the Republican Celebration.
John Berman: Essentially the most attention-grabbing factor right here is the pattern line, the place among the greatest declines happen or have occurred. What’s the scenario for black males total?
Harry Enten: What’s the scenario for black males total? That is a part of the identical image. As soon as once more, we’re seeing, for younger black folks, this seems to be the worst Democratic efficiency since 1960 between JFK and Richard Nixon. The identical goes for black males normally.
Once more, that is a part of an identical pattern, however in actuality, the decline is much less dramatic. Barack Obama gained him over in ’85. You then see ’71 and Clinton, ’69. Biden is mainly doing the identical, staying regular.
However it’s very, very weak right here. The lead was solely 54 factors. Now, we’re nonetheless successful by a giant margin, but it surely’s a lot decrease than we’re used to. In fact, we had been at a a lot decrease stage within the Obama years.
On prime of that’s Kamala Harris and younger black males, after which black males total, which has resulted in traditionally weak showings for Democratic candidates.
John Berman: Does she supply any aid to black ladies?
Harry Enten: We’re speaking about pattern strains, proper? Black ladies, you see, she fares higher with black ladies than with black males. However right here, there’s virtually no pattern line till we get to Kamala Harris. Once more, it is a disparity for black ladies. Look, Obama gained by 93 votes, which is a large margin. Clinton gained by 93 votes, an enormous margin. Biden, 85, carried out barely worse.
However for those who look right here, you have obtained a 71-point benefit. Now, once more, these are enormous earnings. However the backside line is, once you discuss in regards to the base of the Democratic Celebration, you’ll assume Kamala Harris would do nicely amongst black ladies based mostly on historical past.
Positive, she can be the primary black feminine president, but when that holds true, she really had the worst efficiency amongst black feminine Democratic candidates since 1960, John.
watch:
Irrespective of the way you piece the information collectively, Trump seems to be essentially the most highly effective Republican amongst black voters since 1960. The Democratic benefit was decreased by 40 factors).
However Trump additionally traditionally will get alongside nicely with black ladies pic.twitter.com/FyUqqDKLjE
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 14, 2024
